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EUROPE 600 HYBRID

Equity · Futures · Started Feb 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
19.2%
Max Drawdown
32.1%
Trades
9
Win Trades
88.9%
Profit Factor
4.80
Win Months
65.0%
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Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20252.0-2.8-2.49.1-1.5-0.14.30.92.23.24.119.9
20263.25.4-7.87.82.71.90.9-0.3-2.411.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/11/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age20 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades9
# Profitable8
% Profitable88.9%
Avg trade duration66.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown32.1%
drawdown periodMarch 03, 2025 - April 09, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)19.2%
Avg win$1,755
Avg loss$2,910

Ratios

W:L ratio4.82
Sharpe Ratio0.69
Sortino Ratio1.01
Calmar Ratio0.82

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.28
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life26.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)7.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)19.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)25.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss44.0%
Chance of 20% account loss17.5%
Chance of 30% account loss3.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)324
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,910
Avg Win$1,755
# Winners8
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,910
Sum Trade PL (winners)$14,037
Num Months Winners13
# Losers1
% Winners88.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table20

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)95159.41
Avg Position Time (hrs)1585.99
Avg Trade Length66.10
Last Trade Ago13

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.35
Daily leverage (max)3.44

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.37
Treynor Index0.14

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.09
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.11
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.11
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.08
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.59
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)7.74
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.04
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.07
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.63

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.24
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df18
t1.14
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.45
Sortino ratio1.86
Upside Potential Ratio2.97
Upside part of mean0.38
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms6
N of observations19
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error17
t(b)3.40
p(b)0.12
t(a)0.46
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)0.19
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.20
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.79
df18
t1.03
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.37
Sortino ratio1.48
Upside Potential Ratio2.57
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.15
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms6
N of observations19
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.02
r0.61
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error17
t(b)3.19
p(b)0.14
t(a)0.42
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.22
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.00
df422
t1.27
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.54
Sortino ratio1.40
Upside Potential Ratio6.66
Upside part of mean1.07
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms240
N negative terms183
N of observations423
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.01
r0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.36
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error421
t(b)5.72
p(b)0
t(a)1.04
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.51
Treynor index (mean / b)0.63
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
Mean0.20
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df422
t1.11
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.42
Sortino ratio1.19
Upside Potential Ratio6.32
Upside part of mean1.06
Downside part of mean-0.86
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms240
N negative terms183
N of observations423
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error421
t(b)6.01
p(b)0
t(a)0.90
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.32
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.33
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.32
df130
t1.65
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.11
Sortino ratio5.30
Upside Potential Ratio14.49
Upside part of mean0.88
Downside part of mean-0.56
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms69
N negative terms62
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)7.93
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.63
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.43
Treynor index (mean / b)0.53
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
Mean0.31
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.28
df130
t1.62
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.06
Sortino ratio5.12
Upside Potential Ratio14.30
Upside part of mean0.88
Downside part of mean-0.56
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms69
N negative terms62
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)7.90
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.63
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.45
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations19
Minimum0.85
Quartile 10.99
Median1.02
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.27
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.27
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.72
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations423
Minimum0.88
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high19
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.55
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations39
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.77
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.35
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.15
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.98
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-391760608
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)37
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.26
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.59
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.59
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.13
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.27
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.82
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.45
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.16
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.37
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.41
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.70
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.16
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal25.27

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
XXP U6long1Jun 18, 2026Sep 17, 2026$5
XXP M6long2Mar 19, 2026Jun 18, 2026$4,714
XXP H6long2Feb 24, 2026Mar 19, 2026($2,926)
XXP H6long1Dec 18, 2025Feb 23, 2026$3,374
XXP Z5long2Sep 19, 2025Dec 18, 2025$2,630
XXP U5long3Jun 19, 2025Sep 19, 2025$2,013
XXP M5long2Mar 21, 2025Jun 19, 2025$460
XXP H5long2Feb 11, 2025Mar 21, 2025$715

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.