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LoF FTSE DIP

Futures · Futures · Started Aug 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
13.4%
Max Drawdown
19.1%
Trades
37
Win Trades
78.4%
Profit Factor
6.40
Win Months
63.5%
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About this strategy

Strategy Designer: TPP
Experience in Markets: Over 20 years trading derivatives.

Comments From TPP.
This strategy has been designed to offer retail investors a simple way to track the FTSE 100 Index on a leveraged basis. It will maintain a long position, but TPP reserves the right to liquidate the position if necessary.

The FTSE 100 is a share index of the largest companies listed in the UK by market value. The total market value of a company is calculated by multiplying the share price by the total number of issued shares.

Because of the leveraged nature of this strategy, it will increase the return/volatility vs the market. It is a long-term investment as indices have good years and bad years, but given enough time, it is widely agreed that a share index will increase in value.

Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20202.01.2-7.719.65.720.5
2021-1.13.15.75.40.71.5-0.73.7-2.84.5-2.55.024.3
20221.6-0.72.1-1.33.1-7.74.7-2.3-6.44.77.7-2.81.5
20234.81.9-3.93.5-6.41.21.8-3.51.6-4.72.33.51.3
2024-2.11.04.72.42.5-2.02.10.5-2.8-3.02.7-2.43.2
20256.73.0-2.7-2.24.6-0.64.32.03.04.9-0.52.727.5
20263.48.1-6.80.70.20.54.4-1.0-1.87.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/3/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age75 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades37
# Profitable29
% Profitable78.4%
Avg trade duration59.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown19.1%
drawdown periodMarch 03, 2025 - April 07, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)13.4%
Avg win$2,742
Avg loss$1,548

Ratios

W:L ratio6.42
Sharpe Ratio0.68
Sortino Ratio0.98
Calmar Ratio0.99

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.41
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life132.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-15.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)13.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)14.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss32.5%
Chance of 20% account loss9.5%
Chance of 30% account loss1.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,548
Avg Win$2,742
# Winners29
Sum Trade PL (losers)$12,382
Sum Trade PL (winners)$79,504
Num Months Winners47
# Losers8
% Winners78.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table74

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)86076.12
Avg Position Time (hrs)1434.60
Avg Trade Length59.80
Last Trade Ago12

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.29
Daily leverage (max)2.86

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0.34
Treynor Index0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.08
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.09
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.02
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.73
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.27
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.13
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.33

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.12
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df72
t2.04
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.63
Sortino ratio1.49
Upside Potential Ratio3.18
Upside part of mean0.26
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms46
N negative terms27
N of observations73
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.01
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.55
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error71
t(b)5.87
p(b)0
t(a)1.06
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean0.11
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.77
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.76
df72
t1.89
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.56
Sortino ratio1.32
Upside Potential Ratio3.00
Upside part of mean0.25
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms46
N negative terms27
N of observations73
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error71
t(b)5.90
p(b)0
t(a)1.02
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)0.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.12
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df1597
t2.15
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.66
Sortino ratio1.24
Upside Potential Ratio8.57
Upside part of mean0.82
Downside part of mean-0.70
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms864
N negative terms734
N of observations1598
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.41
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1596
t(b)18.21
p(b)0.29
t(a)1.52
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.11
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df1597
t1.98
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.59
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.59
Sortino ratio1.13
Upside Potential Ratio8.42
Upside part of mean0.81
Downside part of mean-0.70
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms864
N negative terms734
N of observations1598
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.42
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1596
t(b)18.26
p(b)0.29
t(a)1.42
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.11
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df130
t0.66
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.71
Sortino ratio1.48
Upside Potential Ratio10.25
Upside part of mean0.76
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms64
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.41
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)5.12
p(b)0.25
t(a)-0.15
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean0.10
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.88
df130
t0.62
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.90
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.65
Sortino ratio1.38
Upside Potential Ratio10.14
Upside part of mean0.76
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms64
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.41
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.36
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)5.08
p(b)0.25
t(a)-0.17
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.22
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)0.28
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations73
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.99
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.18
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations1598
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low48
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high42
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-152.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-3.99
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations60
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.63
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.56
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-501245024
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)35
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.22
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.68
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.02
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.21
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.99
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.84
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.74
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.35
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.75

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LF U6long1Jun 18, 2026Sep 17, 2026$3,866
LF M6long1Mar 19, 2026Jun 18, 2026$3,933
LF H6long1Dec 18, 2025Mar 19, 2026$4,022
LF Z5long1Sep 18, 2025Dec 18, 2025$6,396
LF U5long1Sep 9, 2025Sep 18, 2025($103)
LF U5long1Jun 20, 2025Sep 9, 2025$6,359
LF M5long1Mar 20, 2025Jun 20, 2025$1,812
LF H5long1Dec 20, 2024Mar 20, 2025$7,514
LF Z4long1Sep 19, 2024Dec 20, 2024($3,746)
LF U4long1Jun 20, 2024Sep 19, 2024$80
LF M4long1Mar 14, 2024Jun 20, 2024$6,358
LF H4long1Jan 3, 2024Mar 14, 2024$158
LF H4long1Dec 14, 2023Dec 26, 2023$709
LF Z3long1Sep 14, 2023Dec 14, 2023($1,033)
LF U3long1Jun 15, 2023Sep 14, 2023$648
LF M3long1Mar 17, 2023Jun 15, 2023$1,812
LF H3long1Dec 16, 2022Mar 17, 2023$939
LF Z2long1Sep 16, 2022Dec 16, 2022$1,560
LF U2long1Jun 17, 2022Sep 16, 2022$2,526
LF M2long1Mar 17, 2022Jun 17, 2022($3,341)
LF H2long1Dec 16, 2021Mar 17, 2022$2,844
LF Z1long1Nov 3, 2021Dec 16, 2021$25
LF Z1long1Sep 17, 2021Oct 25, 2021$2,590
LF U1long1Aug 19, 2021Sep 16, 2021$33
LF U1long1Aug 6, 2021Aug 9, 2021$172
LF U1long1Jun 18, 2021Aug 5, 2021($22)
LF M1long1May 7, 2021Jun 14, 2021$408
LF M1long1Apr 20, 2021May 7, 2021$3,713
LF M1long1Mar 17, 2021Apr 20, 2021$1,855
LF H1long1Feb 26, 2021Mar 16, 2021$3,993

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.