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LoF DAX MICRO

Futures · Started Oct 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
22.4%
Max Drawdown
47.4%
Trades
82
Win Trades
80.5%
Profit Factor
2.90
Win Months
61.2%
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About this strategy

Experience In Markets: 25 years
Job Title: Equity Trader
Preferred Markets: Global Indices
Sharpe Ratio: 1.19


Description from the strategy designer:

We build strategies that attempt to provide global exposure to the stock markets.

THIS STRATEGY ALLOWS FOR A SMALLER LEVEL OF INVESTMENT DUE TO OUR PORTFOLIO SIZE.

We trade all of the US Markets, as well as DAX, CAC, FTSE and very occasionally- the Nikkei.

However, this strategy we would expect to be predominantly long in the DAX GERMAN STOCK market, but if a short sell opportunity presents itself- we won't hesitate to take it. We will also have 'short' positions as hedges against our 'buy' exposure.

Whilst guarantees can't ever be offered with investment strategies, we've built this strategy with the intention of yielding 2 x global markets.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202226.26.5-0.433.9
20232.6-2.313.9-2.36.34.00.5-3.6-9.9-15.116.1-2.83.1
20243.20.40.82.31.4-4.91.5-2.93.5-3.110.6-0.512.1
20252.60.6-1.42.715.45.45.92.60.6-1.8-0.46.845.3
2026-7.98.2-5.89.9-0.52.9-0.12.1-10.04.31.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/3/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age49 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades82
# Profitable66
% Profitable80.5%
Avg trade duration12.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown47.4%
drawdown periodMarch 06, 2025 - April 07, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)22.4%
Avg win$415
Avg loss$590

Ratios

W:L ratio2.90
Sharpe Ratio0.68
Sortino Ratio1.04
Calmar Ratio0.81

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.24
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life112.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)13.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)22.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)29.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity8.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss36.5%
Chance of 20% account loss14.5%
Chance of 30% account loss3.0%
Chance of 40% account loss1.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)493
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$579
Avg Win$415
# Winners66
Sum Trade PL (losers)$9,265
Sum Trade PL (winners)$27,393
Num Months Winners30
# Losers16
% Winners80.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table49

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)17939.67
Avg Position Time (hrs)298.99
Avg Trade Length12.50
Last Trade Ago25

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.06
Daily leverage (max)6.35

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.41
Treynor Index0.15

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.07
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.01
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.05
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.23
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.10
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.34

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.28
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.90
df46
t1.82
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.91
Sortino ratio1.94
Upside Potential Ratio3.06
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms36
N negative terms11
N of observations47
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance0.02
r0.49
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error45
t(b)3.80
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.65
p(a)0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)0.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.24
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df46
t1.64
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.82
Sortino ratio1.49
Upside Potential Ratio2.57
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms36
N negative terms11
N of observations47
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.02
r0.50
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error45
t(b)3.89
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.52
p(a)0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.34
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.25
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.13
df1044
t2.26
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.11
Sortino ratio1.70
Upside Potential Ratio6.92
Upside part of mean1.02
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms397
N negative terms648
N of observations1045
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error1043
t(b)8.79
p(b)0.33
t(a)1.73
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.40
Treynor index (mean / b)0.67
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.23
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.02
df1044
t2.04
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.00
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.00
Sortino ratio1.49
Upside Potential Ratio6.61
Upside part of mean1.01
Downside part of mean-0.78
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms397
N negative terms648
N of observations1045
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.39
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error1043
t(b)9.14
p(b)0.33
t(a)1.53
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.01
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.10
df130
t0.07
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.87
Sortino ratio0.13
Upside Potential Ratio5.35
Upside part of mean0.40
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms97
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)3.00
p(b)0.34
t(a)-0.28
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)0.05
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean0.01
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df130
t0.04
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.83
Sortino ratio0.07
Upside Potential Ratio5.28
Upside part of mean0.40
Downside part of mean-0.40
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms97
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)2.99
p(b)0.34
t(a)-0.30
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.22
Treynor index (mean / b)0.03
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations47
Minimum0.79
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.42
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-12.10
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.38
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.16
Number of observations1045
Minimum0.88
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low103
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high102
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low21
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high30
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.94
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations50
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.36
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.70
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.37
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-443611232
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)32
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.30
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.41
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.59
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.18
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.81
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.73
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.42
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.77
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.77

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
DXS U6long2Sep 1, 2026Sep 18, 2026($660)
@MYM U6long1Aug 21, 2026Aug 27, 2026$281
@M2K U6short1Aug 13, 2026Aug 20, 2026$321
@M2K U6long1Jul 28, 2026Jul 31, 2026$93
DXS U6long1Jun 26, 2026Jun 30, 2026$407
DXS U6short1Jun 23, 2026Jun 26, 2026$184
DXS M6long1Jun 11, 2026Jun 11, 2026$186
DXS M6long1Apr 29, 2026Apr 30, 2026$347
DXS M6long2Mar 20, 2026Apr 8, 2026$2,439
DXS H6long2Mar 10, 2026Mar 20, 2026($1,792)
DXS H6long2Jan 14, 2026Feb 18, 2026$133
DXS Z5long5Oct 10, 2025Dec 11, 2025$1,290
DXS Z5long3Sep 19, 2025Sep 26, 2025$214
DXS U5long2Aug 29, 2025Sep 19, 2025$11
DXS U5long2Jul 31, 2025Aug 6, 2025$376
DXS U5long3Jul 21, 2025Jul 31, 2025$668
DXS U5long2Jul 11, 2025Jul 17, 2025$557
DXS U5long2Jun 25, 2025Jul 8, 2025$830
DXS U5long2Jun 20, 2025Jun 24, 2025$951
DXS M5long2Jun 12, 2025Jun 20, 2025($339)
DXS M5long5Mar 27, 2025May 27, 2025$2,164
DXS M5long2Mar 21, 2025Mar 25, 2025$706
DXS H5long2Mar 20, 2025Mar 21, 2025($436)
DXS H5long2Mar 4, 2025Mar 14, 2025$587
DXS H5long2Feb 20, 2025Feb 26, 2025$206
DXS H5long1Jan 13, 2025Jan 14, 2025$234
DXS H5long2Dec 20, 2024Jan 6, 2025$564
DXS Z4long1Dec 19, 2024Dec 20, 2024($314)
DXS Z4long1Dec 11, 2024Dec 11, 2024$58
DXS Z4long1Nov 19, 2024Nov 28, 2024$288

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.