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TPP LEVERAGED NASDAQ 100

Futures · Started Aug 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
26.8%
Max Drawdown
39.6%
Trades
14
Win Trades
64.3%
Profit Factor
3.60
Win Months
65.4%
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Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20247.02.9-1.95.80.615.0
20251.1-4.9-13.14.610.88.72.80.46.76.9-4.40.619.1
2026-0.3-4.3-7.423.415.3-2.1-10.66.33.821.5

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/12/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$40,000
Age26 months
What it tradesOptions, Futures
# Trades14
# Profitable9
% Profitable64.3%
Avg trade duration78.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown39.6%
drawdown periodDec 16, 2024 - April 07, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)26.8%
Avg win$3,014
Avg loss$1,526

Ratios

W:L ratio3.56
Sharpe Ratio0.85
Sortino Ratio1.21
Calmar Ratio0.95

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.57
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life43.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)22.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)26.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)30.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.7%
Percent Trades Options0.3%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss51.5%
Chance of 20% account loss18.0%
Chance of 30% account loss3.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)324
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,526
Avg Win$3,005
# Winners9
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,628
Sum Trade PL (winners)$27,049
Num Months Winners17
# Losers5
% Winners64.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table26

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)112953
Avg Position Time (hrs)1882.55
Avg Trade Length78.40
Last Trade Ago12

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.90
Daily leverage (max)5.81

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.89
Treynor Index0.08

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.18
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.09
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.07
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.39
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.27
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.50
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.74
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.72

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.29
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.00
df24
t1.49
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.39
Sortino ratio1.93
Upside Potential Ratio3.39
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms18
N negative terms7
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.04
r0.95
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.86
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error23
t(b)14.10
p(b)0
t(a)-0.12
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.25
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.88
df24
t1.32
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.28
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.26
Sortino ratio1.55
Upside Potential Ratio2.99
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.24
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms18
N negative terms7
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.04
r0.95
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.84
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error23
t(b)13.95
p(b)0
t(a)-0.38
p(a)0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.27
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.17
df550
t1.70
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.52
Sortino ratio1.71
Upside Potential Ratio9.56
Upside part of mean1.52
Downside part of mean-1.25
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms309
N negative terms242
N of observations551
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.61
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.88
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error549
t(b)17.90
p(b)0
t(a)1.05
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
Mean0.24
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.05
df550
t1.53
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.41
Sortino ratio1.51
Upside Potential Ratio9.32
Upside part of mean1.51
Downside part of mean-1.26
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms309
N negative terms242
N of observations551
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.61
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.89
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error549
t(b)18.10
p(b)0
t(a)0.92
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.28
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.71
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.11
df130
t2.21
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.91
Sortino ratio5.17
Upside Potential Ratio13.38
Upside part of mean1.85
Downside part of mean-1.13
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.71
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.78
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)14.32
p(b)0.06
t(a)1.07
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.62
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.69
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.00
df130
t2.14
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.80
Sortino ratio4.92
Upside Potential Ratio13.12
Upside part of mean1.83
Downside part of mean-1.14
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.69
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.78
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)14.31
p(b)0.06
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.18
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.61
Treynor index (mean / b)0.50
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations25
Minimum0.83
Quartile 10.99
Median1.03
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.25
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.13
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.93
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.17
Number of observations551
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.33
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.06
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.25
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.25
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.01
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.25
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations31
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.33
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.74
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.51
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-502855584
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)112
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.38
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.32
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.30
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.30
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.42
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.37
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.95
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.80
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.11
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.86
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)7.41
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal40.14

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MNQ U6long1Jun 18, 2026Sep 17, 2026($2,487)
@MNQ M6long1Mar 19, 2026Jun 18, 2026$11,172
@MNQ H6long1Dec 18, 2025Mar 19, 2026($1,384)
@MNQ Z5long1Sep 19, 2025Dec 18, 2025$248
@MNQ U5long1Jun 20, 2025Sep 19, 2025$5,117
@MNQ M5long1Mar 21, 2025Jun 20, 2025$3,818
@MNQ H5long1Dec 20, 2024Mar 21, 2025($3,282)
SPY2420X485 short1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024$272
SPY2420L620 short1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024$125
SPY2420L725 long1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024($4)
SPY2420X515 long1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024($476)
@MNQ Z4long1Sep 19, 2024Dec 20, 2024$1,733
@MNQ U4long1Aug 12, 2024Sep 19, 2024$2,366

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.