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TR THE BANKERS FUND

Stocks · Started May 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
24.3%
Max Drawdown
34.0%
Trades
40
Win Trades
67.5%
Profit Factor
4.60
Win Months
63.3%
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About this strategy

This strategy uses 13F filings of 5 of the largest investment banks in the world to build a stock fund.

We have taken the top securities by summing each securities per cent of portfolios for each of the filers. We only use the top 20 stocks combined but in equal weighting.

This stock fund is adjusted every quarter once 13F filings have been submitted and analysed.

These are the banks used for this portfolio:

Goldman Sachs Group
J.P. Morgan Private Wealth Advisors
Citigroup
HSBC Holdings
UBS Group

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20243.75.7-0.93.63.5-1.67.0-3.018.8
20253.8-6.4-10.9-2.29.06.42.82.85.48.01.8-0.719.4
20260.8-3.4-5.417.48.8-2.0-1.01.53.01.420.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/3/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age30 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades40
# Profitable27
% Profitable67.5%
Avg trade duration542.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown34.0%
drawdown periodDec 16, 2024 - April 09, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)24.3%
Avg win$720
Avg loss$354

Ratios

W:L ratio4.59
Sharpe Ratio1.02
Sortino Ratio1.44
Calmar Ratio0.95

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.69
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life51.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)20.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)24.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)26.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity2.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.3%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.7%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss46.0%
Chance of 20% account loss14.5%
Chance of 30% account loss5.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)318
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$355
Avg Win$872
# Winners27
Sum Trade PL (losers)$4,618
Sum Trade PL (winners)$23,537
Num Months Winners19
# Losers13
% Winners67.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct856

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table30

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)781350.12
Avg Position Time (hrs)13022.50
Avg Trade Length542.60
Last Trade Ago489

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.30
Daily leverage (max)5.35

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0.80
Treynor Index0.07

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.84
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.28
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.35
Hold-and-Hope Ratio1.60

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.23
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.25
df27
t1.96
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.57
Sortino ratio2.85
Upside Potential Ratio4.50
Upside part of mean0.37
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms19
N negative terms9
N of observations28
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.02
r0.93
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.53
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error26
t(b)12.97
p(b)0
t(a)0.03
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Treynor index (mean / b)0.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.00
Mean0.22
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.19
df27
t1.87
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.51
Sortino ratio2.56
Upside Potential Ratio4.20
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms19
N negative terms9
N of observations28
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.02
r0.93
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.51
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.00
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error26
t(b)12.75
p(b)0
t(a)-0.05
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.00
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.23
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.33
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.33
df624
t2.06
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.60
Sortino ratio1.89
Upside Potential Ratio8.79
Upside part of mean1.07
Downside part of mean-0.84
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms351
N negative terms274
N of observations625
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.02
r0.70
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.77
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error623
t(b)24.33
p(b)0
t(a)1.36
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.27
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.22
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.24
df624
t1.92
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.51
Sortino ratio1.74
Upside Potential Ratio8.58
Upside part of mean1.07
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms351
N negative terms274
N of observations625
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.02
r0.70
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.78
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error623
t(b)24.54
p(b)0
t(a)1.28
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)0.28
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.28
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.20
df130
t1.56
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.98
Sortino ratio3.79
Upside Potential Ratio12.08
Upside part of mean0.91
Downside part of mean-0.62
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms72
N negative terms59
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.01
r0.69
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.75
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)10.93
p(b)0.10
t(a)1.21
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
Mean0.28
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.14
df130
t1.52
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.93
Sortino ratio3.65
Upside Potential Ratio11.93
Upside part of mean0.90
Downside part of mean-0.62
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms72
N negative terms59
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.01
r0.69
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.75
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)10.97
p(b)0.10
t(a)1.20
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations28
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.99
Median1.02
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.09
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.20
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations625
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low24
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations40
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.29
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.78
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.38
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.15
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.95
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-429030272
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)114
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.68
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.68
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.31
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.95
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.69
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal13.10
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.65
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs9.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal23.44

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@M2K M5long1Mar 21, 2025Jun 20, 2025$160
@M2K H5long1Dec 20, 2024Mar 21, 2025($848)
SPY2420L630 short1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024$58
SPY2420X530 long1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024($662)
SPY2420X490 short1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024$304
SPY2420L725 long1Oct 2, 2024Dec 21, 2024($4)
@M2K Z4long1Nov 29, 2024Dec 20, 2024($1,239)
VOO long3May 3, 2024Nov 29, 2024$245
IVV long3May 3, 2024Nov 29, 2024$267
SPY long3May 3, 2024Nov 29, 2024$266
SPY2420U495 long1Jun 24, 2024Sep 21, 2024($244)
SPY2420I595 short1Jun 24, 2024Sep 21, 2024$103
SPY2420U470 short1Jun 24, 2024Sep 21, 2024$140
SPY2420I630 long1Aug 14, 2024Sep 21, 2024($5)
SPY2420U455 long1May 14, 2024Jun 24, 2024($137)
SPY2420I570 short1May 14, 2024Jun 24, 2024($339)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.