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LoF CAC TECH ENTRY

Futures · Started Feb 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
19.4%
Max Drawdown
43.2%
Trades
84
Win Trades
76.2%
Profit Factor
1.80
Win Months
68.8%
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About this strategy

Description from the strategy designer:

This strategy has been designed to follow the CAC, although by hoping to miss out on a few of the drops throughout the year, it aims to beat its benchmark index.

If the strategy can liquidate a long CAC position after a good run, then it will look to get back in at a lower level, therefore creating an index-beating performance.

If the strategy has no position, then the capital is held in cash, waiting. There is no point being in a market that appears overbought, and being flat can often be a great trade.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20241.6-0.32.70.5-6.43.25.15.1-6.23.57.216.1
20259.8-1.23.6-7.98.77.66.6-2.310.51.93.60.548.0
2026-7.57.7-5.55.56.21.24.6-7.1-10.3-6.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/8/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age32 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades84
# Profitable64
% Profitable76.2%
Avg trade duration6.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown43.2%
drawdown periodMarch 27, 2025 - April 09, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)19.4%
Avg win$615
Avg loss$1,080

Ratios

W:L ratio1.82
Sharpe Ratio0.65
Sortino Ratio0.87
Calmar Ratio0.74

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.39
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life53.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)6.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)19.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)24.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity20.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss68.5%
Chance of 20% account loss31.5%
Chance of 30% account loss15.0%
Chance of 40% account loss3.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)385
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)815
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)476

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,081
Avg Win$615
# Winners64
Sum Trade PL (losers)$21,616
Sum Trade PL (winners)$39,331
Num Months Winners22
# Losers20
% Winners76.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table32

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)9165.43
Avg Position Time (hrs)152.76
Avg Trade Length6.40
Last Trade Ago12

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.59
Daily leverage (max)4.87

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.64
Treynor Index0.08

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.07
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.96
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.98
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats91.81
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats83.26
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.31
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.75
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.19

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.26
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.84
df30
t1.39
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.08
Sortino ratio1.41
Upside Potential Ratio2.67
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms23
N negative terms8
N of observations31
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance0.02
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error29
t(b)3.88
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.41
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.40
Treynor index (mean / b)0.21
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
Mean0.21
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df30
t1.14
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.93
Sortino ratio1.05
Upside Potential Ratio2.29
Upside part of mean0.46
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms23
N negative terms8
N of observations31
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance0.02
r0.56
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error29
t(b)3.66
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.23
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.17
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.23
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.95
df681
t1.53
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.17
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.17
Sortino ratio1.24
Upside Potential Ratio6.18
Upside part of mean1.13
Downside part of mean-0.90
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms266
N negative terms416
N of observations682
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error680
t(b)10.80
p(b)0
t(a)1.02
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.20
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.81
df681
t1.31
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.03
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.03
Sortino ratio1.04
Upside Potential Ratio5.86
Upside part of mean1.12
Downside part of mean-0.92
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms266
N negative terms416
N of observations682
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error680
t(b)10.72
p(b)0
t(a)0.83
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.71
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.39
Treynor index (mean / b)0.33
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.15
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.85
df130
t0.60
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.92
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.62
Sortino ratio1.38
Upside Potential Ratio7.45
Upside part of mean0.79
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms92
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.37
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)4.59
p(b)0.27
t(a)-0.14
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean0.13
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.77
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.77
df130
t0.55
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.54
Sortino ratio1.23
Upside Potential Ratio7.28
Upside part of mean0.78
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms92
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.37
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.48
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)4.55
p(b)0.27
t(a)-0.17
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.27
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.27
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations31
Minimum0.77
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.29
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.62
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21
Number of observations682
Minimum0.84
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low83
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high64
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low25
Percentage of outliers low0.19
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high25
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.64
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.07
Median0.09
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.23
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.09
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.00
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations33
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.24
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.39
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.51
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.80
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.11
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-370557344
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)13
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.27
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.18
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.59
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.84
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.31
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.49
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.17
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.21
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.27

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MT U6long1Aug 17, 2026Sep 18, 2026($5,430)
@M2K U6long1Sep 1, 2026Sep 18, 2026($222)
EX U6long1Jul 28, 2026Jul 30, 2026$688
MT Q6long1Jul 23, 2026Jul 24, 2026$873
MT N6long1Jul 8, 2026Jul 10, 2026$485
DXS U6long1Jun 26, 2026Jun 30, 2026$405
DXS M6long1Jun 11, 2026Jun 11, 2026$225
EX M6short1May 26, 2026May 26, 2026$248
MT M6long1May 15, 2026May 19, 2026$591
MT M6long1Apr 28, 2026May 6, 2026$1,261
XXP M6short1Apr 1, 2026Apr 8, 2026($1,274)
MT J6long1Mar 10, 2026Apr 8, 2026$1,866
MT G6long1Jan 14, 2026Feb 11, 2026$109
MT Z5long1Nov 21, 2025Dec 12, 2025$2,146
MT X5long1Nov 18, 2025Nov 21, 2025($833)
MT X5long1Oct 30, 2025Nov 11, 2025$229
MT V5long1Oct 10, 2025Oct 14, 2025$1,227
MT V5long1Sep 25, 2025Sep 26, 2025$901
MT V5long1Sep 22, 2025Sep 23, 2025$726
MT U5long1Sep 16, 2025Sep 18, 2025$598
MT U5long1Aug 26, 2025Sep 11, 2025$212
MT U5long1Aug 21, 2025Aug 22, 2025$405
MT Q5long1Jul 31, 2025Aug 13, 2025$111
MT Q5long1Jul 28, 2025Jul 29, 2025$1,224
MT Q5long1Jul 25, 2025Jul 25, 2025$693
MT Q5long1Jul 21, 2025Jul 23, 2025$345
MT N5long1Jul 11, 2025Jul 17, 2025($27)
MT N5long1Jun 25, 2025Jun 27, 2025$997
MT M5long1Jun 12, 2025Jun 16, 2025$38
MT M5long1Jun 5, 2025Jun 6, 2025$322

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.